0xFDb16E633137c4621cd3b18b4035579706AcD265-1762944975036
0xfdb16e633137c4621cd3b18b4035579706acd265
- Realised P&L
- $-356.64
- Volume
- $76.8k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $223.53
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$461.52at 0.260Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?
- +$178.53at 0.359Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
- +$58.02at 0.266Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
- +$25.20at 0.500Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
- +$7.69at 0.260Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-03 10:15 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0029999999 | $20.00 |
| 06-03 10:09 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $20.00 |
| 04-09 22:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $0.86 |
| 03-31 13:36 | EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2469540843 | $100.00 |
| 03-31 05:43 | Based FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.42 |
| 03-31 05:43 | Based FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.8546037084 | $663.23 |
| 03-31 05:41 | Based FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.0125305169 | $9.54 |
| 03-29 16:20 | Based FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0591109688 | $25.00 |
| 03-27 08:16 | Based FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0656414092 | $50.00 |
| 03-27 08:15 | Based FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2599999991 | $200.00 |
| 03-27 08:14 | Based FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.71 |
| 12-29 17:48 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.3 | $57.69 |
| 12-29 17:48 | Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? | SELL | 0.3122707178 | $394.15 |
| 12-29 12:53 | Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? | BUY | 0.2663029887 | $336.13 |
| 12-29 12:30 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2599999966 | $50.00 |