0xfdB0a4D70d639B56004D04EcEf48C1A013A89DCE-1770197614778
0xfdb0a4d70d639b56004d04ecef48c1a013a89dce
- Realised P&L
- $213.58
- Volume
- $285.2k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $354.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.272 | 0.225 | $248.25 | −$51.75 |
| Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.028 | $105.77 | +$5.77 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.385 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.00 |
| Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes | 0.116 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.057 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$725.42at 0.191Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
- +$222.19at 0.225Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$196.45at 0.145Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
- +$90.34at 0.670Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$89.87at 0.502Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 12:56 | Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.0259999997 | $100.00 |
| 08-06 12:49 | Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.2719066091 | $300.00 |
| 08-06 12:48 | Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.099 | $71.22 |
| 07-25 07:33 | Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.139010246 | $100.00 |
| 07-18 22:46 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.94 | $174.57 |
| 07-18 20:56 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4899999991 | $100.00 |
| 07-12 10:47 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3849999992 | $200.00 |
| 07-12 08:47 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.3509079267 | $95.36 |
| 07-11 22:20 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.065 | $14.13 |
| 07-11 20:41 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3679999983 | $100.00 |
| 07-08 08:29 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.3810395259 | $535.90 |
| 07-08 08:26 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.186 | $308.29 |
| 07-07 17:57 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1809999996 | $300.00 |
| 07-07 17:48 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3555122335 | $500.00 |
| 07-07 17:33 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.091999996 | $20.00 |