Desant96ua
0xfda451488a8cd28752833b610bc82ff22c9c53c3
- Realised P&L
- $-19.22
- Volume
- $702.32
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $58.68
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration38.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.16at 0.470Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on September 15?
- +$14.62at 0.582Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C or higher on September 17?
- +$10.39at 0.661Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on September 17?
- +$9.37at 0.656Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 16?
- +$2.23at 0.290Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on September 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 07:29 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 28°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.1826923014 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 07:28 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.275862069 | $10.00 |
| 09-19 07:28 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.0629496375 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 07:12 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on September 20? | BUY | 0.6599999957 | $40.00 |
| 09-18 15:14 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on September 18? | SELL | 0.3642005041 | $13.01 |
| 09-18 12:13 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.0439999995 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 12:13 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.2199999974 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 16:26 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $30.73 |
| 09-17 16:26 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C or higher on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $35.04 |
| 09-17 07:34 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 07:33 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.5199999927 | $20.00 |
| 09-17 07:33 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.1853070932 | $4.00 |
| 09-17 07:32 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on September 18? | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 15:30 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on September 17? | BUY | 0.4799999962 | $20.00 |
| 09-16 12:31 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.96 | $29.78 |