PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

30million

0xfda40b607e8c9a968934563c39cf1b80b56d3d51

Realised P&L
$-301.10
Volume
$11.3k
Markets traded
88
Open portfolio
$5.45

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded88
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 03:14Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on September 22?BUY0.17$1.70
09-21 03:13Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 22?BUY0.24$2.40
09-21 03:13Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 22?BUY0.18$1.80
09-20 02:33Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 20?BUY0.38$2.80
09-20 02:31Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 20?BUY0.04$1.20
09-20 02:30Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 20?BUY0.36$3.60
09-20 02:28Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 20?BUY0.26$2.60
09-20 02:25Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 20?BUY0.35$3.50
08-28 02:05Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 9PM ETSELL0.999$9.99
08-21 13:57Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETSELL0.16$1.60
08-21 13:56Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETSELL0.44$4.40
08-21 13:53Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETSELL0.8$8.00
08-21 13:48Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETBUY0.51$5.10
08-21 13:38Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETBUY0.44$4.40
08-21 08:48Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETSELL0.99$19.80