PolyBot

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Traders

0xfda25871a79F6392a98Fb6e979601cD8958D48Cd-1730847469057

0xfda25871a79f6392a98fb6e979601cd8958d48cd

Realised P&L
$-913.40
Volume
$17.5k
Markets traded
39
Open portfolio
$28.52

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded39
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample33 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8100.064$15.88$186.55
Databricks IPO before 2027? · Yes0.6370.037$12.65$202.27
US bank failure by January 31? · No0.9820.000$0.00$289.41
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8? · No0.5200.000$0.00$608.03
Will Claude be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 10? · No0.3980.000$0.00$70.00
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00$199.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-02 17:43Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0259999999$200.00
03-07 01:20Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?BUY0.2669458395$20.00
03-07 01:20Will Claude be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 10?BUY0.4680467948$20.00
03-07 01:15Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?BUY0.2263594697$50.00
03-07 01:15Will Claude be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 10?BUY0.3750623879$50.00
03-05 04:24Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?BUY0.8641344064$650.79
02-17 19:58Will Trump say "N-Word" in February?BUY0.97$307.35
02-09 01:36Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?SELL0.999$314.14
02-09 00:15Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?BUY0.6320987654$100.00
02-09 00:13Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?BUY0.64$100.00
02-08 23:29Big Game: Player/HC to cry during National Anthem?SELL0.06$2.00
02-08 23:24Bad Bunny wears a dress or skirt at the Big Game?BUY0.1799999928$20.00
02-08 23:06Will Bad Bunny say "Fuck ICE" at the Big Game?BUY0.089999996$20.00
02-08 23:05Big Game: Player/HC to cry during National Anthem?BUY0.5998210254$20.00
02-01 19:43Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?BUY0.935187278$413.29