PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Keshvien

0xfd9d64e13ab50b5bf0ddbdbe8cb7545c7ac85962

Realised P&L
$-139.59
Volume
$18.2k
Markets traded
64
Open portfolio
$94.34

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded64
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Manchester United qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? · Yes0.4960.380$30.61−$9.39
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1440.125$24.17−$3.60
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1400.145$15.54+$0.54
Will Atlético Madrid reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal? · Yes0.2800.265$14.20−$0.80
Will Paris Saint-Germain reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal? · Yes0.3800.380$9.83+$0.00
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$1.00
Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Croatia? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$1.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$1.00
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1320.000$0.00−$47.35
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$1.00
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Croatia? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$1.00
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 1 Ecuador? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$1.00
Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 0 - 0 Uruguay? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$1.00
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Morocco? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 15:03Will Paris Saint-Germain reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal?BUY0.3799999861$9.83
09-30 15:01Will Atlético Madrid reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal?BUY0.2799999978$15.00
09-29 17:18Will Manchester United qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?BUY0.3799999924$10.00
09-29 17:17Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?SELL0.19$36.05
09-18 20:20Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.3099999857$5.00
09-18 20:19Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?SELL0.04$5.93
09-13 17:25Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.2699999994$46.87
09-13 17:24Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?SELL0.022$49.17
09-13 01:50Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.1299999982$5.00
09-12 20:26Will Manchester United qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?BUY0.5899999957$15.00
09-12 20:26Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.027$15.00
09-12 20:25Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?SELL0.26$36.85
09-12 20:24Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.027$35.25
09-12 20:23Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?SELL0.26$36.85
09-10 02:12Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.1299999948$3.00