wvsfsafasd
0xfd9cb952ff55f7aa1bb0b83be377755f1edabe4d
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $39.2k
- Markets traded
- 195
- Open portfolio
- $88.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded195
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$240.94at 0.350US strike on Colombia by December 31?
- +$200.20at 0.340Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
- +$194.86at 0.380Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?
- +$177.00at 0.210Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
- +$139.99at 0.390Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 21:41 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | SELL | 0.99 | $304.92 |
| 10-20 09:25 | Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%? | SELL | 0.9873609677 | $61.22 |
| 08-06 07:49 | Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | SELL | 0.9787285383 | $143.42 |
| 07-06 10:53 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $90.60 |
| 07-05 15:38 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | SELL | 0.642678524 | $24.21 |
| 07-05 15:37 | Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? | SELL | 0.5714018692 | $61.14 |
| 07-05 15:31 | Will Josh Tenorio win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election? | SELL | 0.4751767296 | $75.55 |
| 06-27 14:08 | US strike on Mexico by December 31? | SELL | 0.8 | $36.62 |
| 06-23 12:56 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.24 | $14.91 |
| 06-16 23:36 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 26? | SELL | 0.8412468571 | $260.97 |
| 06-14 23:12 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.5139130435 | $11.82 |
| 06-08 08:47 | Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (6/1-6/7) | SELL | 0.996 | $8.40 |
| 06-04 00:37 | Will Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01? | SELL | 0.66 | $38.28 |
| 06-02 21:46 | Will Michael Tubbs win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $1.28 |
| 06-02 21:46 | Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | SELL | 0.49 | $7.41 |