PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

wvsfsafasd

0xfd9cb952ff55f7aa1bb0b83be377755f1edabe4d

Realised P&L
$1.2k
Volume
$39.2k
Markets traded
195
Open portfolio
$88.33

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded195
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration65.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? · No0.3100.305$42.70−$0.70
RFK Jr. Out by December 31? · Yes0.2400.250$17.50+$0.70
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? · Yes0.2200.105$14.28−$15.64
Will the US federal government take a stake in Pfizer Inc.? · No0.4000.923$13.85+$7.85
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30? · No0.3000.000$0.00−$15.00
Will Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 10–15%? · No0.3000.000$0.00−$27.90
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$12.07
Will Donald Trump dance on May 21, 2026? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$9.99
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? · No0.3500.000$0.00−$9.80
Will Alex Zdan be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00−$1.05
Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 30, 2026? · No0.1600.000$0.00−$14.88
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in May? · No0.4600.000$0.00−$51.52
Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$0.13
Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$5.39
Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$20.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-25 21:41Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?SELL0.99$304.92
10-20 09:25Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?SELL0.9873609677$61.22
08-06 07:49Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?SELL0.9787285383$143.42
07-06 10:53Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?SELL0.9$90.60
07-05 15:38Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?SELL0.642678524$24.21
07-05 15:37Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?SELL0.5714018692$61.14
07-05 15:31Will Josh Tenorio win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?SELL0.4751767296$75.55
06-27 14:08US strike on Mexico by December 31?SELL0.8$36.62
06-23 12:56Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?SELL0.24$14.91
06-16 23:36Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 26?SELL0.8412468571$260.97
06-14 23:12Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?SELL0.5139130435$11.82
06-08 08:47Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (6/1-6/7)SELL0.996$8.40
06-04 00:37Will Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?SELL0.66$38.28
06-02 21:46Will Michael Tubbs win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?SELL0.998$1.28
06-02 21:46Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?SELL0.49$7.41