PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

wvsfsafasd

0xfd9cb952ff55f7aa1bb0b83be377755f1edabe4d

Realised P&L
$2.9k
Volume
$32.2k
Markets traded
163
Open portfolio
$123.89

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar9.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded163
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? · No0.3100.595$83.30+$39.90
RFK Jr. Out by December 31? · Yes0.2400.220$15.40$1.40
Will the US federal government take a stake in Pfizer Inc.? · No0.4000.960$14.40+$8.40
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? · Yes0.2200.065$8.84$21.08
Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? · Yes0.2200.021$1.95$18.95
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30? · No0.3000.000$0.00$15.00
Will Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 10–15%? · No0.3000.000$0.00$27.90
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$12.07
Will Donald Trump dance on May 21, 2026? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$9.99
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? · No0.3500.000$0.00$9.80
Will Alex Zdan be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00$1.05
Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 30, 2026? · No0.1600.000$0.00$14.88
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in May? · No0.4600.000$0.00$51.52
Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$0.13
Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$5.39

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-06 07:49Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?SELL0.9787285383$143.42
07-06 10:53Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?SELL0.9$90.60
07-05 15:38Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?SELL0.642678524$24.21
07-05 15:37Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?SELL0.5714018692$61.14
07-05 15:31Will Josh Tenorio win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?SELL0.4751767296$75.55
06-27 14:08US strike on Mexico by December 31?SELL0.8$36.62
06-23 12:56Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?SELL0.24$14.91
06-16 23:36Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 26?SELL0.8412468571$260.97
06-14 23:12Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?SELL0.5139130435$11.82
06-08 08:47Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (6/1-6/7)SELL0.996$8.40
06-04 00:37Will Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?SELL0.66$38.28
06-02 21:46Will Michael Tubbs win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?SELL0.998$1.28
06-02 21:46Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?SELL0.49$7.41
06-02 21:45Blue wave in 2026?SELL0.65$29.25
06-02 13:37Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?SELL0.3318915$66.38