jdoe
0xfd9c5550221aa5397ffb1ce647f35e5cf4bdf0c8
- Realised P&L
- $11.8k
- Volume
- $339.6k
- Markets traded
- 1,765
- Open portfolio
- $9.09
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- CautionMarkets traded1,765
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.9kat 0.332Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$888.30at 0.227Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
- +$450.71at 0.293Will Trump say "Hell" 7+ times during Pittsburgh rally on May 30?
- +$383.29at 0.455Will Nicușor Dan advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?
- +$356.61at 0.217Will FCSB win on 2025-09-25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 18:26 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 18:25 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.46 | $1.04 |
| 08-04 17:08 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 15:45 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 13:17 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.65 | $1.14 |
| 08-04 12:34 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.87 | $1.67 |
| 08-04 12:07 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.2199998548 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 12:06 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.7 | $1.13 |
| 08-04 11:48 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.52 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 11:06 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.32 | $0.97 |
| 08-04 10:14 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 09:36 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 09:32 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.4399998064 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 09:30 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.3899998479 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 09:28 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |