jdoe
0xfd9c5550221aa5397ffb1ce647f35e5cf4bdf0c8
- Realised P&L
- $11.5k
- Volume
- $342.4k
- Markets traded
- 2,017
- Open portfolio
- $11.27
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- CautionMarkets traded2,017
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration22.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.9kat 0.332Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$888.31at 0.227Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
- +$450.71at 0.293Will Trump say "Hell" 7+ times during Pittsburgh rally on May 30?
- +$383.29at 0.455Will Nicușor Dan advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?
- +$356.62at 0.217Will FCSB win on 2025-09-25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-22 04:34 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 21? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.01 |
| 10-22 04:34 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 21? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 10-22 04:34 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 21? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.02 |
| 10-22 04:25 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on October 22? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-22 03:20 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 23? | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 10:13 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 21? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 06:15 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 21? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 02:59 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 21? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 02:59 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 21? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 02:57 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on October 21? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 05:17 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or higher on October 15? | BUY | 0.3723154672 | $9.69 |
| 10-13 12:04 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.2099999969 | $4.76 |
| 10-13 12:03 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 12:01 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 13? | SELL | 0.638 | $6.14 |
| 10-13 05:09 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.29199999 | $2.81 |