PolyBot

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Traders

jdoe

0xfd9c5550221aa5397ffb1ce647f35e5cf4bdf0c8

Realised P&L
$11.5k
Volume
$342.4k
Markets traded
2,017
Open portfolio
$11.27

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
CautionMarkets traded2,017
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration22.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-22 04:34Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 21?SELL0.003$0.01
10-22 04:34Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 21?SELL0.001$0.01
10-22 04:34Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 21?SELL0.003$0.02
10-22 04:25Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on October 22?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
10-22 03:20Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 23?BUY0.1499999925$1.00
10-21 10:13Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 21?BUY0.3299998944$1.00
10-21 06:15Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 21?BUY0.2699999784$1.00
10-21 02:59Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 21?BUY0.3399999388$1.00
10-21 02:59Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 21?BUY0.1699999983$1.00
10-21 02:57Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on October 21?BUY0.2599999896$1.00
10-15 05:17Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or higher on October 15?BUY0.3723154672$9.69
10-13 12:04Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on October 13?BUY0.2099999969$4.76
10-13 12:03Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on October 13?BUY0.08$1.00
10-13 12:01Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 13?SELL0.638$6.14
10-13 05:09Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 13?BUY0.29199999$2.81