0x6e2245a5de20586d9bA9f9CD15E00a5F4537edE0-1760469851382
0xfd985c9a62d03e9c7e62c7432cc4da55979e6651
- Realised P&L
- $11.51
- Volume
- $85.24
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $19.21
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar13.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Wang Mei-hui win the next Chiayi City Mayor election? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.790 | $10.13 | +$0.13 |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.690 | $9.08 | −$0.92 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.14at 0.679Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
- +$4.37at 0.699Will Genta Koja win the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 11:02 | Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.7599999848 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 03:33 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.998 | $22.34 |
| 09-18 03:25 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.6699999911 | $15.00 |
| 09-10 12:53 | Will Genta Koja win the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.6899999821 | $10.00 |
| 08-19 18:00 | Will Wang Mei-hui win the next Chiayi City Mayor election? | BUY | 0.7799999548 | $10.00 |