lilihi
0xfd97979a7c46bb92bff1b427d1c212b0aa8c1bc6
- Realised P&L
- $-16.01
- Volume
- $262.53
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $4.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? · Yes | 0.289 | 0.175 | $3.14 | −$2.05 |
| Will Ethereum hit $4k by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.050 | $1.39 | −$2.78 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January? · No | 0.880 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.09 |
| LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) · Gen.G | 0.880 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.94 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3000 in June? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January? · No | 0.810 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first? · 130k | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120K in September? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.55at 0.530Bitcoin above $83,000 on March 21?
- +$3.52at 0.362Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
- +$2.56at 0.610Bitcoin above $84,000 on March 7?
- +$2.53at 0.580Will Bitcoin reach $100k in May?
- +$2.35at 0.630Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-28 03:13 | Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999557 | $4.74 |
| 04-11 11:47 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April? | BUY | 0.71 | $3.40 |
| 04-11 11:46 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.982 | $3.55 |
| 03-24 13:18 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9489999389 | $3.43 |
| 03-24 13:17 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.24 | $3.44 |
| 02-22 13:26 | Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.22 |
| 02-22 13:25 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.2789999607 | $4.00 |
| 01-12 08:09 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January? | BUY | 0.8799999886 | $3.09 |
| 01-08 09:28 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January? | BUY | 0.81 | $3.00 |
| 11-01 02:09 | LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) | BUY | 0.8799999821 | $3.94 |
| 10-29 11:36 | LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.6099999365 | $2.40 |
| 10-20 07:34 | Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first? | BUY | 0.4599999264 | $3.00 |
| 10-06 11:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October? | BUY | 0.5799998144 | $3.00 |
| 09-18 09:57 | Will Bitcoin reach $120K in September? | BUY | 0.699999972 | $5.00 |
| 08-26 07:18 | Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August? | BUY | 0.8609999668 | $3.50 |