0xfd934258b966b9782f60d2f137d2bbcc0cefa20b
- Realised P&L
- $6.42
- Volume
- $357.69
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $10.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs HOLANDA 78 - Map 1 Winner · BESTIA Academy | 0.991 | 0.996 | $5.45 | +$0.02 |
| No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.989 | 0.981 | $5.38 | −$0.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.46at 0.970Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 11?
- +$0.18at 0.970Counter-Strike: Color vs SPARTA (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #8 Playoffs
- +$0.18at 0.970Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 11?
- +$0.18at 0.970Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on September 11?
- +$0.18at 0.970Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 20:34 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.46 | $5.87 |
| 09-09 19:26 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 19:25 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 19:25 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 19:25 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 19:25 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 19:25 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 09-05 15:40 | Fetterman out by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.886 | $0.99 |
| 09-05 14:02 | Fetterman out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8889999155 | $1.00 |
| 09-05 12:58 | Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.978 | $1.00 |
| 09-05 12:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 5? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 15:59 | Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.9779998494 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 15:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 09:44 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.8869999619 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 08:13 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |