hasidm
0xfd91796247a1d4bd75dc67e504917f162eecb75c
- Realised P&L
- $-19.39
- Volume
- $9.0k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $3.88
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will anyone say "Donald" or "Trump" 3+ times during South Park e6 s27? · No | 0.400 | 1.000 | $3.50 | +$2.10 |
| Will the Republicans win the Maryland governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.004 | $0.38 | −$4.63 |
| Israel strikes Gaza by October 31? · No | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.04at 0.117Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$-0.48at 0.070Will Trump pardon Rudy Giuliani in 2025?
- +$-0.77at 0.070Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 20:24 | Will the Republicans win the Maryland governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.059999989 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 19:22 | Israel strikes Gaza by October 31? | BUY | 0.002 | $15.00 |
| 10-14 19:22 | Will the Republicans win the Maryland governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.0410799344 | $20.53 |
| 10-14 19:04 | Will anyone say "Donald" or "Trump" 3+ times during South Park e6 s27? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.40 |
| 10-14 15:39 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | SELL | 0.116 | $1.44 |
| 10-14 15:39 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | BUY | 0.1169999325 | $1.45 |
| 10-14 15:38 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | SELL | 0.116 | $1.46 |
| 10-14 15:38 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | BUY | 0.116999935 | $1.47 |
| 10-14 15:38 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | SELL | 0.116 | $1.47 |
| 10-14 15:38 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | BUY | 0.1169999362 | $1.48 |
| 10-14 15:27 | Will the Republicans win the Maryland governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.48 |
| 10-14 15:27 | Will the Republicans win the Maryland governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.0599999755 | $2.20 |
| 10-14 15:27 | Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in 2025? | SELL | 0.06 | $2.14 |
| 10-14 15:26 | Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in 2025? | BUY | 0.0699999754 | $2.50 |
| 10-14 15:26 | Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in 2025? | SELL | 0.06 | $2.49 |