0xFD8aFAe4EA2220D3eE0Cae3597d0C1a16d145148-1773772767938
0xfd8afae4ea2220d3ee0cae3597d0c1a16d145148
- Realised P&L
- $8.89
- Volume
- $983.75
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $167.92
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m? · Yes | 0.365 | 0.999 | $82.04 | +$52.04 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.177 | 0.075 | $42.25 | −$57.75 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · Yes | 0.910 | 0.955 | $31.48 | +$1.48 |
| Will Spider-Man die in Avengers: Doomsday? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.425 | $12.14 | −$7.86 |
| Will Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$63.33at 0.240Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 85m?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 01:23 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m? | BUY | 0.3651479845 | $30.00 |
| 07-23 01:15 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.9099999994 | $30.00 |
| 07-23 01:14 | Will Spider-Man die in Avengers: Doomsday? | BUY | 0.699999993 | $20.00 |
| 05-05 21:06 | Will Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $40.00 |
| 03-19 19:34 | Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 85m? | BUY | 0.2399999918 | $20.00 |
| 03-18 16:07 | Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m? | BUY | 0.0899999736 | $3.00 |
| 03-18 16:04 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.1774972871 | $100.00 |