PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xFD8aFAe4EA2220D3eE0Cae3597d0C1a16d145148-1773772767938

0xfd8afae4ea2220d3ee0cae3597d0c1a16d145148

Realised P&L
$-7.01
Volume
$983.75
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$152.65

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m? · Yes0.3651.000$82.16+$52.16
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · Yes0.9101.000$32.97+$2.97
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.1770.041$23.10$76.90
Will Spider-Man die in Avengers: Doomsday? · Yes0.7000.505$14.43$5.57
Will Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$40.00
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-23 01:23Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?BUY0.3651479845$30.00
07-23 01:15Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.9099999994$30.00
07-23 01:14Will Spider-Man die in Avengers: Doomsday?BUY0.699999993$20.00
05-05 21:06Will Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?BUY0.25$40.00
03-19 19:34Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 85m?BUY0.2399999918$20.00
03-18 16:07Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?BUY0.0899999736$3.00
03-18 16:04Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.1774972871$100.00