PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

PolCsf

0xfd88805b5206417d66127ffd96679e22c0794037

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$543.3k
Markets traded
77
Open portfolio
$0.50

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded77
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-24 08:35US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?SELL0.29$1.2k
07-24 08:34US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?SELL0.92$5.0k
06-27 21:45US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?BUY0.76$608.00
06-27 21:42US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?BUY0.76$3.5k
06-27 21:40US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?BUY0.44$1.5k
06-16 12:13US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.007$15.44
06-16 12:11US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?SELL0.995$6.0k
06-13 04:33US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?BUY0.79$1.6k
06-13 04:33US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.84064672$420.32
06-01 11:45US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?SELL0.93$3.3k
05-30 05:42US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?BUY0.85$3.0k
05-30 05:38US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?SELL0.15$269.99
05-30 05:37US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?SELL0.95$1.4k
05-27 13:19US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?BUY0.36$210.03
05-27 12:35MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?SELL0.77$1.7k