PolCsf
0xfd88805b5206417d66127ffd96679e22c0794037
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $543.3k
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $0.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.4kat 0.334US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
- +$2.2kat 0.628Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$1.9kat 0.687US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
- +$1.5kat 0.310Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
- +$1.5kat 0.606US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24 08:35 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $1.2k |
| 07-24 08:34 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $5.0k |
| 06-27 21:45 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $608.00 |
| 06-27 21:42 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $3.5k |
| 06-27 21:40 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.44 | $1.5k |
| 06-16 12:13 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.007 | $15.44 |
| 06-16 12:11 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.995 | $6.0k |
| 06-13 04:33 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $1.6k |
| 06-13 04:33 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.84064672 | $420.32 |
| 06-01 11:45 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $3.3k |
| 05-30 05:42 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $3.0k |
| 05-30 05:38 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $269.99 |
| 05-30 05:37 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $1.4k |
| 05-27 13:19 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $210.03 |
| 05-27 12:35 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.77 | $1.7k |