PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Allen59

0xfd80d58f9346659dd69a7b9d8d82aa705dd2393a

Realised P&L
$-201.03
Volume
$116.1k
Markets traded
667
Open portfolio
$522.52

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded667
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration77.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? · Yes0.7800.790$404.90+$4.90
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · No0.6400.755$117.61+$17.91
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5 · Under0.5000.000$0.00−$5.00
Avalanche vs. Wild · Avalanche0.5500.000$0.00−$4.00
Will SS Lazio vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$1.50
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-10? · Yes0.6000.000$0.00−$6.00
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) · Spurs0.4800.000$0.00−$5.00
Levante UD vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5 · Under0.5200.000$0.00−$3.00
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5 · Yes0.5300.000$0.00−$5.00
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic - Map 1 Winner · Heroic0.3900.000$0.00−$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 15:52US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?BUY0.7804373013$400.00
09-26 01:41US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.8699999999$100.00
09-26 01:40US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?SELL0.998$116.24
09-22 05:20US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.8999999855$31.00
09-22 05:18Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.52$32.41
09-21 06:42US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.8299999998$199.80
09-21 05:10US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.64$99.70
09-21 05:06US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.8199999952$99.90
09-20 14:39US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?BUY0.8499999944$99.00
09-18 15:28Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.5699999939$35.53
09-13 12:47Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.7799999978$28.39
09-13 12:46Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.21$29.89
08-09 14:30Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.6299999846$12.66
07-30 02:29Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4499999921$20.00
07-30 00:03Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4499999974$35.00