Allen59
0xfd80d58f9346659dd69a7b9d8d82aa705dd2393a
- Realised P&L
- $-201.03
- Volume
- $116.1k
- Markets traded
- 667
- Open portfolio
- $522.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded667
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.790 | $404.90 | +$4.90 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.640 | 0.755 | $117.61 | +$17.91 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5 · Under | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Avalanche vs. Wild · Avalanche | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will SS Lazio vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-10? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Spread: Spurs (-5.5) · Spurs | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Levante UD vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5 · Yes | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic - Map 1 Winner · Heroic | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$213.36at 0.870Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
- +$146.98at 0.960No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
- +$100.25at 0.817Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $104K on June 16 at 5 PM ET?
- +$81.24at 0.841US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
- +$77.26at 0.840Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $103K on June 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 15:52 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | BUY | 0.7804373013 | $400.00 |
| 09-26 01:41 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.8699999999 | $100.00 |
| 09-26 01:40 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? | SELL | 0.998 | $116.24 |
| 09-22 05:20 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.8999999855 | $31.00 |
| 09-22 05:18 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.52 | $32.41 |
| 09-21 06:42 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.8299999998 | $199.80 |
| 09-21 05:10 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $99.70 |
| 09-21 05:06 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.8199999952 | $99.90 |
| 09-20 14:39 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? | BUY | 0.8499999944 | $99.00 |
| 09-18 15:28 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5699999939 | $35.53 |
| 09-13 12:47 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7799999978 | $28.39 |
| 09-13 12:46 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.21 | $29.89 |
| 08-09 14:30 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6299999846 | $12.66 |
| 07-30 02:29 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4499999921 | $20.00 |
| 07-30 00:03 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4499999974 | $35.00 |