cropcircle
0xfd7c996519f2254e5d3f16626e7ac0b759eed6e1
- Realised P&L
- $-18.64
- Volume
- $363.26
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $40.07
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration74.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.59at 0.150Will Iran close its airspace by February 28, 2026?
- +$1.96at 0.511Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
- +$-2.23at 0.473Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 03:23 | Will Chainlink reach $16 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.57 |
| 07-19 22:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET | BUY | 0.3799999742 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 22:22 | Will Chainlink reach $18 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999272 | $3.00 |
| 07-19 22:22 | Will Chainlink reach $16 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999742 | $5.00 |
| 07-18 23:16 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4099999778 | $8.50 |
| 03-03 07:34 | Will Chainlink reach $16 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4031878991 | $12.30 |
| 02-28 21:34 | Will Chainlink reach $18 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4699998919 | $2.00 |
| 02-28 21:28 | Will Iran close its airspace by February 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.989 | $6.59 |
| 02-25 17:34 | Will Chainlink reach $14 in February? | BUY | 0.0275229093 | $1.00 |
| 02-23 00:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 02-23 00:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET | BUY | 0.4499997975 | $0.97 |
| 02-23 00:50 | Will Iran close its airspace by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499998875 | $1.00 |
| 02-22 19:06 | Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.25 |
| 02-21 20:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET | BUY | 0.4899999534 | $1.94 |
| 02-21 20:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $0.99 |