PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

cropcircle

0xfd7c996519f2254e5d3f16626e7ac0b759eed6e1

Realised P&L
$-18.64
Volume
$363.26
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$40.07

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration74.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration65.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Chainlink reach $16 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3840.510$26.36+$6.49
Will Chainlink reach $18 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4080.345$12.68$2.32
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? · Yes0.2500.205$1.02$0.23
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00$8.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00$1.09
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$5.00
Will Chainlink reach $12 in February? · Yes0.0650.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET · Up0.2680.000$0.00$26.84
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET · Up0.3370.000$0.00$2.40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 19? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$2.00
Will Chainlink reach $14 in February? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET · Up0.5210.000$0.00$2.09
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET · Up0.3800.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-22 03:23Will Chainlink reach $16 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.32$2.57
07-19 22:22Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETBUY0.3799999742$5.00
07-19 22:22Will Chainlink reach $18 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3699999272$3.00
07-19 22:22Will Chainlink reach $16 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3799999742$5.00
07-18 23:16Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.4099999778$8.50
03-03 07:34Will Chainlink reach $16 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4031878991$12.30
02-28 21:34Will Chainlink reach $18 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4699998919$2.00
02-28 21:28Will Iran close its airspace by February 28, 2026?SELL0.989$6.59
02-25 17:34Will Chainlink reach $14 in February?BUY0.0275229093$1.00
02-23 00:57Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETBUY0.01$1.00
02-23 00:50Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 7:50PM-7:55PM ETBUY0.4499997975$0.97
02-23 00:50Will Iran close its airspace by February 28, 2026?BUY0.1499998875$1.00
02-22 19:06Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?BUY0.25$1.25
02-21 20:37Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:35PM-3:40PM ETBUY0.4899999534$1.94
02-21 20:34Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETBUY0.1399998824$0.99