dopiho
0xfd787508d227ab2fd7ec1986f4483c5a35b9837b
- Realised P&L
- $2.6k
- Volume
- $166.6k
- Markets traded
- 142
- Open portfolio
- $3.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded142
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.529 | 0.725 | $2.1k | +$569.65 |
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.422 | 0.555 | $1.6k | +$393.17 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.271 | 0.105 | $168.00 | −$265.00 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 August 24-30? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$778.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.542Will Solana dip to $90 in February?
- +$899.74at 0.307MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
- +$892.45at 0.528Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February?
- +$741.25at 0.373SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?
- +$520.25at 0.526MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-26 10:43 | Will Hyperliquid reach $90 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8205773265 | $559.30 |
| 08-25 09:00 | Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5786331855 | $542.90 |
| 08-25 09:00 | Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.58 | $69.59 |
| 08-25 08:58 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 August 24-30? | BUY | 0.56 | $778.40 |
| 08-23 15:39 | Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.53 | $345.56 |
| 08-23 13:27 | Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs | BUY | 0.6035025557 | $348.31 |
| 08-22 17:54 | Will Hyperliquid reach $90 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8256315809 | $443.81 |
| 08-22 12:44 | Will Hyperliquid reach $90 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6673041657 | $235.80 |
| 08-20 07:26 | Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027? | BUY | 0.8560056781 | $78.39 |
| 07-16 08:27 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.2699999937 | $30.00 |
| 07-15 14:18 | Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027? | BUY | 0.6890566038 | $36.52 |
| 07-15 14:17 | Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July? | BUY | 0.71 | $274.77 |
| 06-30 11:55 | France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.1199999922 | $13.00 |
| 06-30 11:54 | Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.64 | $100.00 |
| 06-16 10:41 | Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $190.89 |