PolyBot

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Traders

allentang

0xfd77ae69b294c6cf0e23c94a739dd25a4d9582d9

Realised P&L
$-3.9k
Volume
$56.3k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$1.8k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration46.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.9400.825$1.8k−$245.26
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$400.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-26 13:36Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?BUY0.9403101043$2.0k
09-22 03:19Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?BUY0.8195258229$800.00
11-18 16:55Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?BUY0.6639491234$522.37
11-18 16:53Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?SELL0.4953982645$522.37
11-18 16:18Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?BUY0.9517773018$5.0k
11-18 16:18Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?SELL0.994$5.0k
11-18 15:10Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?BUY0.9598361048$4.9k
11-18 14:10Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?BUY0.52$18.72
11-18 12:31Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?BUY0.891$114.04
11-18 04:39Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?SELL0.982$294.60
11-18 04:39Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?SELL0.97$48.50
11-18 02:59Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?BUY0.5$63.00
11-14 03:32Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?SELL0.020243811$33.20
11-12 15:07Will Gemini 3.0 be released by December 31?BUY0.971$94.21
11-09 03:33Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?BUY0.07$21.00