guknhYTJo3
0xfd777a7e0882dbce33f6f9dbcd1c1a77bea49deb
- Realised P&L
- $238.62
- Volume
- $73.8k
- Markets traded
- 159
- Open portfolio
- $33.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded159
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 September 28-October 4? · No | 0.979 | 0.979 | $33.18 | −$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$211.60at 0.470Lightning vs. Golden Knights
- +$3.71at 0.912Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7?
- +$1.53at 0.952Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
- +$1.39at 0.920Will Solana reach $210 in May?
- +$1.32at 0.960Will XRP dip to $1.00 June 29-July 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 04:28 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.9789999995 | $33.20 |
| 09-28 01:11 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.9889999999 | $32.80 |
| 09-27 14:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 27? | BUY | 0.993999979 | $32.70 |
| 09-25 08:28 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.9809999997 | $32.20 |
| 09-18 11:29 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.9739999737 | $30.20 |
| 09-15 15:05 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 15? | BUY | 0.995 | $30.10 |
| 09-15 03:27 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on September 14? | BUY | 0.995 | $30.00 |
| 09-13 06:18 | Will XRP dip to $1.30 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.9909999998 | $39.30 |
| 09-11 02:11 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on September 10? | BUY | 0.9889999999 | $38.90 |
| 09-10 14:56 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 10? | BUY | 0.9874352266 | $38.50 |
| 09-09 15:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 9? | BUY | 0.9889999999 | $38.00 |
| 09-09 03:30 | Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on September 8? | BUY | 0.9889999854 | $37.70 |
| 09-08 15:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 8? | BUY | 0.988 | $37.30 |
| 09-08 03:07 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,450 on September 7? | BUY | 0.991 | $37.00 |
| 09-07 14:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 7? | BUY | 0.9909999999 | $36.60 |