PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Theobalddfb

0xfd75b8dff935a077b7aeaa3941d2ea3dff41a398

Realised P&L
$25.04
Volume
$14.0k
Markets traded
47
Open portfolio
$18.02

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded47
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-18? · Yes0.2800.265$18.02−$1.02
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? · No0.5320.000$0.00−$14.90
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-14? · No0.2200.000$0.00−$4.84
Saints vs. Rams · Saints0.5300.000$0.00−$21.20
Will United States win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00−$36.87
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00−$7.44
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$14.82

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 03:302026 Balance of Power: OtherSELL0.997$39.88
10-14 03:30Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-18?BUY0.28$19.04
10-14 03:292026 Balance of Power: OtherSELL0.002$0.08
09-14 07:11Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-14?BUY0.22$4.84
09-05 05:46Games Total: O/U 3.5BUY0.34$18.70
08-22 07:40Saints vs. RamsBUY0.53$21.20
08-10 11:33Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles AngelsBUY0.52$14.56
07-15 03:08Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.532$14.90
07-03 06:47Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.31$7.44
06-26 02:19Will the price of Solana be above $110 on June 28?BUY0.9986433412$14.00
06-26 02:17Will United States win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.51$36.87
06-05 07:59Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.004$0.22
06-05 07:58Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.995$54.73
05-27 06:59Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-05-29?BUY0.4$26.24
05-18 08:20Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.995$33.97