9568MKOP
0xfd6a97a9d8a776440637dce075ed194accdd6828
- Realised P&L
- $-90.96
- Volume
- $19.3k
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $8.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)29.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.215 | $4.89 | −$5.11 |
| Will Lighter dip to $2.5 before 2027? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.585 | $1.50 | +$0.50 |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $75 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.801 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Aster reach $1.40 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.090 | $0.75 | −$1.25 |
| Ole Miss Rebels vs. Vanderbilt Commodores · Ole Miss Rebels | 0.261 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers · Pistons | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.00 |
| Hurricanes vs. Kraken · Hurricanes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.25 |
| National Bank Open: Lois Boisson vs Antonia Ruzic · Lois Boisson | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Tulane Green Wave vs. South Florida Bulls · Tulane Green Wave | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
| Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Troy Trojans · Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 0.078 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-03-14? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Lakers vs. Nuggets · Lakers | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.00 |
| Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-03-15? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Mavericks vs. Rockets · Mavericks | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.85at 0.520Knicks vs. Nuggets
- +$8.35at 0.782Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Incarnate Word Cardinals
- +$6.28at 0.941Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets vs. Clemson Tigers
- +$3.14at 0.617Raptors vs. Cavaliers
- +$2.85at 0.637Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-04 03:50 | Will Lighter dip to $2.5 before 2027? | BUY | 0.3899998479 | $1.00 |
| 08-31 15:29 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $75 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999921 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 04:40 | National Bank Open: Lois Boisson vs Antonia Ruzic | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 07-25 07:23 | KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Doosan Bears | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |
| 06-28 08:52 | Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants | BUY | 0.6 | $1.00 |
| 05-31 04:59 | Will Aster reach $1.40 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999184 | $2.00 |
| 05-16 06:30 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4399999894 | $10.00 |
| 04-30 10:59 | Raptors vs. Cavaliers | BUY | 0.6099999756 | $5.00 |
| 04-13 02:52 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15? | BUY | 0.6299999811 | $4.89 |
| 03-15 08:27 | Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-03-15? | BUY | 0.4699999887 | $5.00 |
| 03-15 08:27 | Nuggets vs. Grizzlies | SELL | 0.21 | $4.63 |
| 03-12 00:56 | Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-03-14? | BUY | 0.4499999797 | $10.00 |
| 03-07 05:26 | Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets vs. Clemson Tigers | BUY | 0.9399999996 | $99.80 |
| 03-07 05:25 | Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.984 | $862.08 |
| 03-07 05:01 | Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.985 | $862.96 |