PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

nicoploufff

0xfd6a1db54bf81abee809f0c01e945112cd2ff828

Realised P&L
$-309.06
Volume
$27.4k
Markets traded
264
Open portfolio
$59.22

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded264
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 13? · No0.7801.000$25.63+$5.63
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on October 13? · No0.7790.680$17.46−$2.54
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 13? · Yes0.2101.000$4.76+$3.76
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 13? · Yes0.3411.000$2.93+$1.93
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on October 13? · Yes0.5501.000$1.82+$0.82
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on October 13? · Yes0.4200.645$1.54+$0.54
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on October 13? · Yes0.0630.093$1.49+$0.49
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on October 13? · Yes0.5300.640$1.21+$0.21
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 13? · Yes0.5700.615$1.08+$0.08
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on October 13? · Yes0.3300.350$1.06+$0.06
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on October 13? · Yes0.1600.032$0.20−$0.80
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 13? · Yes0.0200.001$0.02−$0.98
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 13? · Yes0.0300.001$0.02−$0.98
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 13? · Yes0.1240.001$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on October 13? · Yes0.2320.001$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 18:52Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 13?BUY0.5699999886$1.00
10-12 18:52Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on October 13?BUY0.3299998944$1.00
10-12 18:51Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 13?BUY0.0297287254$1.00
10-12 18:51Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 13?BUY0.1238095097$1.00
10-12 18:51Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on October 13?BUY0.2319999907$1.00
10-12 18:51Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on October 13?BUY0.549999945$1.00
10-12 18:50Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on October 13?BUY0.5299998463$1.00
10-12 18:50Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on October 13?BUY0.16$1.00
10-12 18:50Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on October 13?BUY0.7787087155$20.00
10-12 18:49Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 13?BUY0.5699999886$2.00
10-12 18:49Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 13?BUY0.020081281$1.00
10-12 18:49Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 13?BUY0.2099999895$1.00
10-12 18:49Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 13?BUY0.7799999891$20.00
10-12 18:48Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on October 13?BUY0.4199998908$1.00
10-12 18:48Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on October 13?BUY0.0626105585$1.00