nicoploufff
0xfd6a1db54bf81abee809f0c01e945112cd2ff828
- Realised P&L
- $-309.06
- Volume
- $27.4k
- Markets traded
- 264
- Open portfolio
- $59.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded264
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$104.92at 0.557Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
- +$60.62at 0.522Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
- +$44.73at 0.427Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
- +$30.32at 0.356Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
- +$26.10at 0.616Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 18:52 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 13? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 18:52 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on October 13? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 18:51 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.0297287254 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 18:51 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.1238095097 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 18:51 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.2319999907 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 18:51 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 18:50 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on October 13? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 18:50 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on October 13? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 18:50 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on October 13? | BUY | 0.7787087155 | $20.00 |
| 10-12 18:49 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $2.00 |
| 10-12 18:49 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.020081281 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 18:49 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 18:49 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.7799999891 | $20.00 |
| 10-12 18:48 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on October 13? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 18:48 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on October 13? | BUY | 0.0626105585 | $1.00 |