PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

petanimal

0xfd691577dc6a9d21e9611b93ef9177d36738a2e1

Realised P&L
$154.0k
Volume
$41.19M
Markets traded
2,921
Open portfolio
$20.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,921
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration31.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.5000.839$7.5k+$3.0k
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0270.050$2.6k+$1.2k
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0010.002$2.0k+$717.21
Will Mitch Landrieu win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0010.002$1.9k+$664.42
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0010.002$1.8k+$614.67
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.5000.162$1.5k−$3.0k
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0010.002$976.99+$344.58
Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0010.003$435.52+$261.32
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0040.002$313.50−$534.83
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0040.002$189.05−$340.16
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0040.002$189.05−$340.16
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0040.001$104.50−$743.83
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0040.001$104.50−$743.83
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0040.001$63.02−$466.20
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0040.001$22.76−$171.11

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 01:42Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.001$129.18
09-25 00:52Will Mitch Landrieu win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.001$563.23
09-11 14:12Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.001$1.3k
09-11 14:06Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.001$582.35
09-08 04:40Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.001$2.87
09-05 23:21Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.001$0.07
09-05 23:20Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.001$5.00
09-05 23:20Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.001$5.00
09-05 23:20Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.001$10.47
09-05 23:20Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.001$0.87
09-05 23:19Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.001$2.00
09-05 23:19Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.001$2.00
09-05 23:19Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.001$2.00
09-05 23:19Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.001$2.00
09-05 23:19Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.001$2.00