PolyBot

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Traders

strawberryfieldsforever

0xfd63e3b5aaaf321392f5df08cd6569d7eb34a94f

Realised P&L
$755.62
Volume
$31.3k
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$25.00

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration80.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0010.003$25.00+$15.00
Israel closes its airspace by September 30? · No0.0380.000$0.00−$38.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 09:06Israel closes its airspace by September 30?SELL0.032$44.60
09-14 09:01Israel closes its airspace by September 30?SELL0.033$33.00
04-08 01:26Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?SELL0.8236565097$297.34
04-08 01:22Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?SELL0.3135066244$944.40
04-08 01:01Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?SELL0.76$30.40
04-06 09:42Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?BUY0.3$113.58
04-06 08:28Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?BUY0.033$33.33
03-14 05:17Will VIX close above 50 by June 30?BUY0.001$1.54
02-18 10:41US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?BUY0.9929999987$1.53
02-16 16:42US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?BUY0.0679328882$20.24
02-16 16:32US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?BUY0.064$16.90