strawberryfieldsforever
0xfd63e3b5aaaf321392f5df08cd6569d7eb34a94f
- Realised P&L
- $755.62
- Volume
- $31.3k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $25.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration80.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.003 | $25.00 | +$15.00 |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30? · No | 0.038 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$38.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$845.00at 0.033Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
- +$207.44at 0.300Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
- +$0.01at 0.993US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?
- +$-1.54at 0.001Will VIX close above 50 by June 30?
- +$-235.29at 0.068US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 09:06 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | SELL | 0.032 | $44.60 |
| 09-14 09:01 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | SELL | 0.033 | $33.00 |
| 04-08 01:26 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | SELL | 0.8236565097 | $297.34 |
| 04-08 01:22 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | SELL | 0.3135066244 | $944.40 |
| 04-08 01:01 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | SELL | 0.76 | $30.40 |
| 04-06 09:42 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | BUY | 0.3 | $113.58 |
| 04-06 08:28 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | BUY | 0.033 | $33.33 |
| 03-14 05:17 | Will VIX close above 50 by June 30? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.54 |
| 02-18 10:41 | US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.9929999987 | $1.53 |
| 02-16 16:42 | US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.0679328882 | $20.24 |
| 02-16 16:32 | US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.064 | $16.90 |