Mater
0xfd57694905b5e9052e5677d77ea953a39e3ca7ff
- Realised P&L
- $-120.77
- Volume
- $51.7k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $2.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)61.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 21-27? · No | 0.500 | 1.000 | $2.1k | +$1.1k |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,100 September 21-27? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $100.20 | +$0.20 |
| St. Tropez: Titouan Droguet vs Harold Mayot · Titouan Droguet | 0.810 | 1.000 | $1.23 | +$0.23 |
| Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Coleman Wong · Daniil Medvedev | 0.900 | 1.000 | $1.11 | +$0.11 |
| Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-09-27? · Yes | 0.900 | 1.000 | $1.11 | +$0.11 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 in September? · Yes | 0.830 | 0.495 | $0.60 | −$0.40 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in September? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.140 | $0.52 | −$0.48 |
| Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? · No | 0.432 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Ankara: Berfu Cengiz vs Teodora Kostovic · Teodora Kostovic | 0.860 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 21-27? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.1k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
- +$1.0kat 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down on May 28?
- +$6.84at 0.967Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
- +$1.25at 0.899XRP Up or Down on June 3?
- +$1.17at 0.630Will 'The Wild Robot' gross between $24m and $31m opening weekend?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 13:23 | Will Ethereum reach $3,100 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.997999998 | $100.00 |
| 09-27 13:23 | Ankara: Berfu Cengiz vs Teodora Kostovic | BUY | 0.8599997764 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 13:22 | Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 13:22 | St. Tropez: Titouan Droguet vs Harold Mayot | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 13:22 | Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Coleman Wong | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 13:22 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 in September? | BUY | 0.829999502 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 13:22 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in September? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 06-03 11:31 | XRP Up or Down on June 3? | BUY | 0.8918918262 | $11.00 |
| 05-28 12:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | BUY | 0.9497343213 | $100.00 |
| 05-28 12:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $100.00 |
| 03-20 16:27 | Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $99.90 |
| 03-20 16:26 | Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $99.90 |
| 03-20 16:26 | Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $99.90 |
| 03-13 15:12 | Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.4319999361 | $2.00 |
| 03-13 15:11 | Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $100.00 |