Paradox09
0xfd50ec932d32fffc5eabcb8f05bf8dfc01a98904
- Realised P&L
- $345.39
- Volume
- $95.2k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $408.44
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)65.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? · Yes | 0.463 | 0.485 | $408.44 | +$18.24 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? · No | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.35 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$170.00 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$68.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.5kat 0.213Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$285.30at 0.222Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?
- +$244.61at 0.256Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?
- +$201.02at 0.631Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$185.89at 0.029Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 10:09 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? | BUY | 0.46 | $5.98 |
| 10-01 09:29 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? | BUY | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 10-01 09:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? | BUY | 0.46 | $239.88 |
| 10-01 05:27 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? | BUY | 0.4509530795 | $6.21 |
| 09-30 14:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.12 |
| 09-30 14:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.10 |
| 09-30 14:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | SELL | 0.008 | $2.02 |
| 09-30 12:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | SELL | 0.085051522 | $313.66 |
| 09-30 04:40 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | BUY | 0.0159305612 | $3.79 |
| 09-30 04:39 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.2390083131 | $395.46 |
| 09-30 01:46 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.25 | $45.01 |
| 09-30 01:46 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | BUY | 0.0221310772 | $49.00 |
| 09-30 01:37 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | BUY | 0.024 | $18.81 |
| 09-30 01:28 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.2799999985 | $36.97 |
| 09-30 01:28 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | BUY | 0.026 | $10.00 |