takeright32
0xfd50dac523038a39d0148a4a917b6e334f1f0687
- Realised P&L
- $-47.27
- Volume
- $2.6k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $37.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)61.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dune: Part Three win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.155 | $31.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.060 | $6.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 30% or higher? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.046 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$33.90 |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.66at 0.369Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
- +$9.49at 0.389Will AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026?
- +$9.49at 0.389Will AI solve the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in 2026?
- +$7.12at 0.588Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?
- +$7.08at 0.708Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 08:32 | Will Claude go down 8-10 times in October? | SELL | 0.841 | $8.41 |
| 10-25 08:32 | Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October? | SELL | 0.81 | $5.39 |
| 10-24 21:33 | Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October? | BUY | 0.59999997 | $4.00 |
| 10-24 21:33 | Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October? | BUY | 0.7199999712 | $4.00 |
| 10-24 21:16 | Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 30% or higher? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-24 21:14 | Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 25% or higher? | BUY | 0.6799999701 | $10.00 |
| 10-20 19:40 | Counter-Strike: fnatic vs PARIVISION (BO3) - 1win Private Club Playoffs | SELL | 0.72 | $1.50 |
| 10-20 19:01 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | BUY | 0.5299999399 | $1.50 |
| 10-20 18:32 | Counter-Strike: fnatic vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 18:14 | Counter-Strike: fnatic vs PARIVISION (BO3) - 1win Private Club Playoffs | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 22:29 | Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $6.50 |
| 10-08 12:27 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.81 | $18.00 |
| 10-01 18:38 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 23:48 | Will Yabloko win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.06 | $4.20 |
| 09-20 23:40 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.01573064 | $3.93 |