0xfD4d5174CA48Be62e7183A5CB782636BF66f0839-1769562324008
0xfd4d5174ca48be62e7183a5cb782636bf66f0839
- Realised P&L
- $-858.60
- Volume
- $51.8k
- Markets traded
- 746
- Open portfolio
- $383.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded746
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Lakers (-4.5) · Lakers | 0.450 | 0.735 | $163.33 | +$63.33 |
| Spread: Warriors (-4.5) · Warriors | 0.410 | 0.630 | $153.66 | +$53.66 |
| Spread: Warriors (-9.5) · Warriors | 0.321 | 0.355 | $66.40 | +$6.40 |
| Nets vs. Pacers: O/U 200.5 · Over | 0.325 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET · Down | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET · Down | 0.505 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET · Up | 0.099 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET · Down | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$414.04at 0.509Kings vs. Grizzlies: O/U 240.5
- +$214.21at 0.482Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?
- +$144.03at 0.396Kings vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
- +$130.09at 0.158Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
- +$116.25at 0.049Wizards vs. Bulls
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 01:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 01:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 01:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 01:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 01:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 01:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 01:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $10.00 |
| 11-02 01:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $10.00 |
| 11-02 00:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $27.30 |
| 11-02 00:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.2899999989 | $8.00 |
| 11-02 00:55 | Luka Dončić: Points O/U 39.5 | SELL | 0.051215436 | $8.43 |
| 11-02 00:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 00:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET | BUY | 0.5899999705 | $5.00 |
| 11-02 00:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET | SELL | 0.97 | $5.90 |
| 11-02 00:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |