PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xfD4d5174CA48Be62e7183A5CB782636BF66f0839-1769562324008

0xfd4d5174ca48be62e7183a5cb782636bf66f0839

Realised P&L
$-858.60
Volume
$51.8k
Markets traded
746
Open portfolio
$383.39

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded746
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Spread: Lakers (-4.5) · Lakers0.4500.735$163.33+$63.33
Spread: Warriors (-4.5) · Warriors0.4100.630$153.66+$53.66
Spread: Warriors (-9.5) · Warriors0.3210.355$66.40+$6.40
Nets vs. Pacers: O/U 200.5 · Over0.3250.000$0.00−$50.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET · Down0.3600.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET · Down0.5050.000$0.00−$26.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET · Up0.0990.000$0.00−$2.00
Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET · Down0.1100.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 01:01Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETBUY0.5$1.00
11-02 01:01Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETBUY0.5299998463$1.00
11-02 01:01Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETBUY0.5099998215$1.00
11-02 01:01Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETBUY0.5299998463$1.00
11-02 01:01Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETBUY0.5299998463$1.00
11-02 01:01Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETBUY0.5299998463$1.00
11-02 01:01Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETBUY0.5099999776$10.00
11-02 01:01Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETBUY0.4899999824$10.00
11-02 00:59Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETSELL0.99$27.30
11-02 00:57Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETBUY0.2899999989$8.00
11-02 00:55Luka Dončić: Points O/U 39.5SELL0.051215436$8.43
11-02 00:52Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ETBUY0.59999988$1.00
11-02 00:52Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ETBUY0.5899999705$5.00
11-02 00:48Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:45PM-7:50PM ETSELL0.97$5.90
11-02 00:46Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:45PM-7:50PM ETBUY0.5099998215$1.00