druj
0xfd4c791170d0cc2d0f2ea1f7b893523a71a10c20
- Realised P&L
- $8.64
- Volume
- $42.4k
- Markets traded
- 97
- Open portfolio
- $35.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded97
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration4.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 September 21-27? · No | 0.921 | 0.917 | $35.60 | −$0.16 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,800 in November? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.14at 0.641Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$0.50at 0.981Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 10?
- +$0.44at 0.986Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 7-13?
- +$0.39at 0.987Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 17?
- +$0.37at 0.988Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 12:42 | Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.921 | $35.75 |
| 09-19 14:41 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 19? | BUY | 0.992 | $15.89 |
| 09-19 03:35 | Will Ethereum reach $2,650 on September 18? | BUY | 0.995 | $34.83 |
| 09-18 15:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.994 | $15.20 |
| 09-17 15:20 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 17? | BUY | 0.99 | $34.65 |
| 09-14 03:48 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.993 | $34.76 |
| 09-14 03:42 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 7-13? | SELL | 0.999 | $33.97 |
| 09-13 14:42 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.985 | $33.49 |
| 09-10 15:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 10? | BUY | 0.995 | $33.83 |
| 09-09 15:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 9? | BUY | 0.996 | $33.86 |
| 09-07 15:33 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on September 7? | BUY | 0.99 | $33.66 |
| 09-06 15:48 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 August 31-September 6? | BUY | 0.992 | $32.74 |
| 09-05 14:29 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 5? | BUY | 0.995 | $32.84 |
| 09-04 15:17 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 4? | BUY | 0.986 | $19.97 |
| 09-02 15:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 2? | BUY | 0.995 | $32.84 |