TruthseekerR
0xfd460e28ffe7d34bb1315e9be48b3b8fdd5d4c7d
- Realised P&L
- $11.3k
- Volume
- $273.6k
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $774.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.1kat 0.553US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
- +$3.4kat 0.360 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$1.5kat 0.398US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
- +$441.29at 0.461Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?
- +$266.27at 0.467Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-17 15:47 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.066 | $17.95 |
| 08-17 15:39 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.064618575 | $51.69 |
| 08-17 15:35 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.31 | $99.20 |
| 08-17 15:34 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.31 | $31.00 |
| 08-03 19:25 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.7299999994 | $25.00 |
| 08-03 19:24 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.5999999976 | $50.00 |
| 08-03 19:23 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.64 | $50.00 |
| 08-03 19:22 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.6783719063 | $50.00 |
| 08-03 11:12 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August? | BUY | 0.0389237484 | $20.00 |
| 08-03 11:11 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.25 | $50.00 |
| 08-02 11:54 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.6499999987 | $50.00 |
| 08-02 11:52 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.0770433442 | $50.00 |
| 07-31 12:36 | Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | BUY | 0.6304072182 | $396.15 |
| 07-28 18:36 | Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | BUY | 0.61 | $6.10 |
| 07-28 18:34 | Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | BUY | 0.59 | $28.02 |