PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

iskrem

0xfd438207e4aa774bf1f6231426ccf162f3f37d3d

Realised P&L
$1.2k
Volume
$110.2k
Markets traded
210
Open portfolio
$3.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded210
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration78.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.8990.990$2.9k+$267.38
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? · Yes0.3780.735$808.26+$392.38
Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Stan Wawrinka · Stan Wawrinka0.3300.000$0.00$33.00
Spread: England (-1.5) · England0.4870.000$0.00$146.00
Swiss Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Stefanos Tsitsipas · Arthur Rinderknech0.2540.000$0.00$20.00
Norway vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 0.5 · Under0.2900.000$0.00$29.00
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00$37.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.7400.000$0.00$300.00
Spread: Morocco (-3.5) · Morocco0.2000.000$0.00$20.00
Spread: Germany (-1.5) · Germany0.4800.000$0.00$100.00
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$20.00
Austria vs. Jordan: Jordan O/U 0.5 · Under0.5000.000$0.00$100.00
Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Novak Djokovic · Roman Safiullin0.1400.000$0.00$50.00
Wimbledon ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Joao Fonseca · Jesper de Jong0.1600.000$0.00$100.00
Wimbledon WTA: Claire Liu vs Coco Gauff · Claire Liu0.0800.000$0.00$25.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-06 06:37Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase September 1-7?BUY0.92$5.52
09-05 16:47US Open WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Amanda AnisimovaSELL0.89$4.45
09-05 16:42US Open WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Amanda AnisimovaBUY0.649999999$100.00
09-05 16:39US Open WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Amanda AnisimovaBUY0.635235732$40.00
09-05 16:38US Open WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Amanda AnisimovaBUY0.5399999943$40.00
09-05 16:37US Open WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Amanda AnisimovaBUY0.5599999776$10.00
09-04 18:12Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase September 1-7?BUY0.9299999993$50.00
09-03 16:40Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase September 1-7?BUY0.92$276.00
09-03 14:07Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase September 1-7?BUY0.92$9.20
09-03 11:27Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase September 1-7?BUY0.93$93.00
09-02 18:46Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase September 1-7?BUY0.92$45.08
09-02 06:26Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase September 1-7?BUY0.94$84.60
09-01 16:56Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase September 1-7?BUY0.92$92.00
08-19 18:23Cincinnati Open (Doubles): Melo/Zverev vs Luz/MatosBUY0.36$36.00
08-15 18:41Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin August 11-17?BUY0.17$13.60