Snufkin51
0xfd3f5bee57b7ee729ebb63c99e25486f7232a8bd
- Realised P&L
- $2.6k
- Volume
- $165.2k
- Markets traded
- 1,124
- Open portfolio
- $715.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,124
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Edmonton Oilers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? · No | 0.920 | 0.915 | $262.12 | −$1.43 |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? · No | 0.890 | 0.885 | $177.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? · No | 0.730 | 0.715 | $130.03 | −$2.73 |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? · No | 0.828 | 0.749 | $126.11 | −$13.39 |
| Will the Toronto Maple Leafs make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs? · No | 0.460 | 0.505 | $18.08 | +$1.61 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.050 | $1.92 | −$8.08 |
| Padres vs. Cubs · Padres | 0.499 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$78.75 |
| Celtics vs. Heat · Heat | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$58.28 |
| Timberwolves vs. Bucks · Bucks | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$114.00 |
| Magic vs. Cavaliers · Magic | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.94 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astros · Boston Red Sox | 0.587 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$51.88 |
| Bucks vs. Mavericks · Mavericks | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$55.50 |
| Oilers vs. Capitals · Oilers | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.30 |
| Avalanche vs. Jets · Avalanche | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$178.48 |
| Duke Blue Devils vs. Michigan State Spartans · Michigan State Spartans | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$82.71 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$684.00at 0.750Spread: Saints (-7.5)
- +$679.78at 0.720Spread: Lions (-10.5)
- +$428.00at 0.430Bengals vs. Texans
- +$274.43at 0.270Will Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?
- +$217.97at 0.480Maple Leafs vs. Flyers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 17:59 | Falcons vs. Saints | BUY | 0.48 | $15.15 |
| 10-05 17:55 | Spread: Saints (-7.5) | BUY | 0.75 | $2.1k |
| 10-04 22:56 | Spread: Lions (-10.5) | BUY | 0.7199999999 | $1.7k |
| 10-04 16:42 | Titans vs. Ravens | BUY | 0.8599999988 | $56.00 |
| 10-04 15:18 | Spread: Bengals (-2.5) | BUY | 0.489999994 | $37.00 |
| 10-04 14:57 | Patriots vs. Bills | BUY | 0.7399999936 | $25.46 |
| 10-04 04:04 | Colts vs. Commanders | BUY | 0.6699999822 | $9.41 |
| 10-03 20:38 | Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) | BUY | 0.6699999985 | $131.00 |
| 10-03 18:14 | BYU vs. TCU | BUY | 0.6699999993 | $147.30 |
| 10-03 17:58 | Blues vs. Avalanche | BUY | 0.72 | $8.46 |
| 10-03 15:16 | Texas Tech vs. Colorado | BUY | 0.8399999985 | $44.81 |
| 10-03 15:10 | Kraken vs. Oilers | BUY | 0.6499999948 | $6.28 |
| 10-03 15:05 | Texas Tech vs. Colorado | BUY | 0.8299999996 | $44.28 |
| 10-01 21:44 | Spread: Steelers (-2.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $37.38 |
| 10-01 18:36 | Flyers vs. Devils | BUY | 0.379999999 | $22.38 |