User7429
0xfd3e6449d0c1e807501dcc17c0d9447201f35a7a
- Realised P&L
- $58.1k
- Volume
- $1.78M
- Markets traded
- 15,371
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded15,371
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration17.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5 · Over | 0.497 | 1.000 | $253.66 | +$127.62 |
| Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) · Texas Rangers | 0.740 | 0.960 | $217.56 | +$49.86 |
| Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5 · Over | 0.400 | 0.625 | $159.61 | +$57.46 |
| Counter-Strike: QUINTESSÊNCIA vs Peak Agency (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #3 Playoffs · QUINTESSÊNCIA | 0.885 | 0.991 | $114.69 | +$12.22 |
| KBO: NC Dinos vs. Lotte Giants · Lotte Giants | 0.854 | 0.665 | $59.45 | −$16.91 |
| W35 Kyoto: Sayaka Ishii vs Amelia Rajecki · Sayaka Ishii | 0.450 | 0.485 | $46.11 | +$3.33 |
| KBO: KT Wiz vs. Hanwha Eagles · Hanwha Eagles | 0.518 | 0.515 | $43.96 | −$0.25 |
| Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5) · Seattle Mariners | 0.800 | 0.810 | $38.88 | +$0.48 |
| KBO: KT Wiz vs. Hanwha Eagles · KT Wiz | 0.464 | 0.485 | $37.42 | +$1.63 |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.659 | 0.745 | $34.08 | +$3.93 |
| Will Club Blooming vs. FC Universitario end in a draw? · Yes | 0.750 | 1.000 | $32.26 | +$8.05 |
| Spread: Saint Louis City SC (-1.5) · Colorado Rapids | 0.670 | 0.580 | $31.79 | −$4.93 |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5 · Under | 0.719 | 0.939 | $31.03 | +$7.27 |
| Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-09-16? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.815 | $28.44 | +$12.04 |
| Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Chunichi Dragons · Tokyo Yakult Swallows | 0.510 | 0.750 | $21.38 | +$6.84 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.4kat 0.492Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees
- +$2.3kat 0.461National Bank Open: Michael Zheng vs Miomir Kecmanovic
- +$2.2kat 0.518France vs. England: Team to Win
- +$2.1kat 0.601Caribbean Premier League: Antigua And Barbuda Falcons vs Barbados Tridents
- +$1.9kat 0.465Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-07-26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 02:46 | Spread: Saint Louis City SC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.6699999958 | $36.72 |
| 09-17 02:45 | Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.4699999962 | $9.80 |
| 09-17 02:45 | Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.4699999729 | $6.60 |
| 09-17 02:41 | Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5) | BUY | 0.8 | $38.40 |
| 09-17 02:34 | Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5) | BUY | 0.39 | $4.33 |
| 09-17 02:31 | Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $5.10 |
| 09-17 02:30 | Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5) | SELL | 0.28 | $5.04 |
| 09-17 02:30 | Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5) | BUY | 0.2799999956 | $5.10 |
| 09-17 02:30 | Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5 | BUY | 0.509999998 | $118.25 |
| 09-17 02:27 | Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5) | SELL | 0.62 | $146.63 |
| 09-17 02:27 | Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5499999994 | $130.20 |
| 09-17 02:27 | Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) | BUY | 0.7399999997 | $167.70 |
| 09-17 02:25 | Will Club Blooming vs. FC Universitario end in a draw? | BUY | 0.749999986 | $13.43 |
| 09-17 02:25 | Will Club Blooming vs. FC Universitario end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7499999652 | $10.78 |
| 09-17 02:24 | Will FC Universitario win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.32 | $4.29 |