PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

MTD

0xfd39b573bc2aa618c9bc226624e985133c1d109d

Realised P&L
$36.6k
Volume
$4.34M
Markets traded
421
Open portfolio
$5.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded421
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0400.116$3.6k+$2.4k
Kash Patel out by December 31? · Yes0.7270.210$1.6k$4.0k
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes0.7810.230$503.80$1.2k
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · Yes0.2490.235$47.00$2.85
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0600.055$5.50$0.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-30 22:15Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.06$6.00
08-29 17:06Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?SELL0.2025$4.05
08-18 01:52Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.093$93.00
08-18 01:52Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.093$93.00
08-18 01:52Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.093$93.00
08-17 11:52Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?SELL0.2316966667$13.90
08-09 05:28Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?BUY0.25$25.00
08-09 05:25Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?BUY0.2485$24.85
08-04 18:54Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.025$2.50
07-27 18:12Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.026$2.60
07-27 17:48Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.156$46.80
07-22 01:42Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.143$42.90
07-20 15:30Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.144$43.20
07-20 15:29Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.083$33.20
07-18 22:14Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.076$7.60