PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

MTD

0xfd39b573bc2aa618c9bc226624e985133c1d109d

Realised P&L
$35.8k
Volume
$4.42M
Markets traded
431
Open portfolio
$58.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded431
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 23:27Miami (FL) vs. North CarolinaBUY0.83$332.00
10-31 23:26Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.95$950.00
10-31 23:26Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.95$475.00
10-31 17:53Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?BUY0.82$410.00
10-31 17:53Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?BUY0.81$421.96
10-28 10:37Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUY0.64$64.00
10-28 10:37Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.68$67.99
10-28 10:36Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.75$75.00
10-27 07:19US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?SELL0.92$184.00
10-25 18:40Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.153$153.00
10-25 18:39Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?SELL0.74$740.00
10-25 17:35Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.75$750.00
10-25 17:32Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?BUY0.82$820.00
10-25 17:32Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?BUY0.82$820.00
10-25 17:31Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?BUY0.82$8.2k