Aykute
0xfd3310cff9ac65d7a55848ac3d5ebd12e08a5310
- Realised P&L
- $3.0k
- Volume
- $140.2k
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $30.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.8kat 0.014Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?
- +$565.59at 0.186Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?
- +$431.91at 0.175Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
- +$250.33at 0.395Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?
- +$207.31at 0.170Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 19:13 | Will Ethereum reach $3,300 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.013 | $43.71 |
| 09-24 06:29 | Will Ethereum reach $2,900 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.1 | $47.12 |
| 09-18 18:13 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.0178701299 | $27.52 |
| 09-18 18:10 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 14-20? | SELL | 0.0416657402 | $31.48 |
| 09-16 11:29 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.12 | $47.70 |
| 09-16 11:26 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.0264705882 | $20.00 |
| 09-15 08:59 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 16? | BUY | 0.0130679658 | $18.33 |
| 09-15 08:53 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.11 | $20.17 |
| 09-11 15:31 | Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.005441783 | $46.12 |
| 09-11 15:30 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1799999993 | $33.00 |
| 09-11 15:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 11? | SELL | 0.9565458195 | $83.40 |
| 09-11 10:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 11? | BUY | 0.2099999981 | $18.31 |
| 09-04 05:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 4? | BUY | 0.0558905958 | $8.70 |
| 09-04 05:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 4? | BUY | 0.007 | $9.00 |
| 09-04 05:17 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.006 | $19.78 |