0x8c8AD6aF2CF38c4E80929fa02b07bF00c033058e-1767912663762
0xfd32bc94eccfbb3a6011ed783693f0db59a03738
- Realised P&L
- $-3.51
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $221.66
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration42.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October? · No | 0.320 | 0.535 | $169.95 | +$68.40 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No | 0.220 | 0.220 | $50.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 18? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.006 | $1.71 | −$3.29 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 October 12-18? · No | 0.209 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.64at 0.890Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?
- +$35.34at 0.724Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 18?
- +$23.04at 0.867Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 14:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 18? | SELL | 0.976917069 | $137.59 |
| 10-17 20:16 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 18? | BUY | 0.019 | $5.00 |
| 10-17 14:29 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 18? | BUY | 0.7099999971 | $100.00 |
| 10-17 13:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 17? | SELL | 0.9676387077 | $225.54 |
| 10-17 03:43 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.2199999993 | $50.00 |
| 10-17 03:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 17? | BUY | 0.8580693434 | $200.00 |
| 10-16 21:45 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.2094246816 | $100.00 |
| 10-14 02:11 | Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16? | BUY | 0.8861897246 | $260.00 |
| 10-13 19:59 | Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16? | BUY | 0.88 | $90.00 |
| 10-13 02:26 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October? | BUY | 0.31984008 | $100.00 |
| 10-13 02:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.55 |