PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ilyarchik

0xfd2d8aa6c49732ced6e97bd404921b950f40e3a1

Realised P&L
$-498.97
Volume
$11.6k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$206.34

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration81.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Counter-Strike: 9z vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B · 9z0.3900.345$119.88−$15.64
LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 4 Winner · Gen.G0.6580.655$86.46−$0.36
Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale? · No0.8270.000$0.00−$82.70
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00−$33.00
Over $10M committed to the ZKLSOL raise on MetaDAO? · No0.3180.000$0.00−$107.75
Will Curtis Sliwa win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00−$2.15
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale? · No0.4100.000$0.00−$302.16
Will Lot 7 Henri Matisse’s “Figure décorative” sell for 15m or more? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$19.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 08:27LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 4 WinnerBUY0.66$70.62
11-01 08:26LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 4 WinnerBUY0.65$13.00
11-01 08:25LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 4 WinnerBUY0.64$3.20
10-30 19:47Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerSELL0.999$439.56
10-30 18:07Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.29$127.60
10-26 17:08Counter-Strike: 9z vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group BBUY0.39$135.51
02-04 08:14Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?BUY0.63$292.87
11-19 08:40Will Lot 13 Ernst Ludwig Kirchner’s “Fränzi mit Pfeilbogen” sell for 3m or more?BUY0.1$200.00
11-19 08:39Will Lot 7 Henri Matisse’s “Figure décorative” sell for 15m or more?BUY0.1$100.00
11-18 16:02Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?BUY0.827$82.70
11-11 19:59Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?BUY0.33$33.00
11-07 08:16Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY0.54$479.61
11-07 08:16Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY0.53$48.05
11-01 12:30Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on November 1?BUY0.997999998$200.00
10-29 22:45Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?SELL0.9944359461$288.38