drvbhiop
0xfd2a84b0b5c715a7e3ee764c99ae4e886e6d519f
- Realised P&L
- $4.97
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $287.34
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration27.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Human moon landing in 2026? · No | 0.969 | 0.986 | $100.52 | +$1.68 |
| Will the Republican Party win the IN-08 House seat? · Yes | 0.967 | 0.958 | $97.67 | −$0.97 |
| Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026? · No | 0.960 | 0.939 | $89.16 | −$2.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.33at 0.974Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?
- +$1.07at 0.980Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?
- +$0.76at 0.934Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
- +$0.68at 0.985Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in May?
- +$0.37at 0.946Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-09 12:10 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.925 | $18.50 |