theoaurelio
0xfd271cbbce3ca955da6121a0bdd46bb319e050ba
- Realised P&L
- $-80.54
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $187.36
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage · HANJIN BRION | 0.800 | 0.640 | $160.00 | −$40.00 |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.610 | 0.475 | $17.10 | −$4.86 |
| LoL: Team Vitality vs RED Canids (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage · RED Canids | 0.130 | 0.135 | $10.26 | +$0.38 |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$79.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-117.95at 0.248Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 06:00 | Games Total: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.61 | $21.96 |
| 10-06 05:59 | LoL: Team Vitality vs RED Canids (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | BUY | 0.13 | $9.88 |
| 10-06 05:56 | LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | BUY | 0.8 | $200.00 |
| 10-06 05:54 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.16 | $200.96 |
| 10-04 06:32 | Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.61 | $79.30 |