PolyBot

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Traders

EivindLunner

0xfd23bea29ac71debbab20c2e2852f5941cdc8ec4

Realised P&L
$4.49
Volume
$117.46
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$17.37

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration85.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 24? · Yes0.3300.325$9.28$0.14
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 24? · Yes0.1090.080$8.09$2.91
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 22? · Yes0.0780.000$0.00$2.55
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on September 22? · Yes0.4140.000$0.00$6.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 16:36Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 24?BUY0.3299999947$9.42
09-22 16:36Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 24?BUY0.1087121781$11.00
09-22 16:35Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 23?SELL0.5$20.89
09-22 15:36Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 23?BUY0.5025809446$21.00
09-21 18:52Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on September 22?BUY0.4144736692$6.00
09-21 10:14Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 22?BUY0.0784615385$2.55
09-21 10:03Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 22?BUY0.4616986568$10.00
09-21 09:48Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 5:45AM-5:50AM ETBUY0.7099999702$5.00