PolyBot

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Traders

simalu

0xfd23b1f18f01dcb0d505e34abe19499ee918df9d

Realised P&L
$-21.29
Volume
$34.3k
Markets traded
8
Open portfolio
$20.86

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded8
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0010.001$5.09$5.09
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0010.001$5.09$5.09
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.065$3.90$0.90
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0010.001$3.39$3.39
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0010.001$3.39$3.39

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-01 06:00Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0163928$1.64
09-01 06:00Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.42$0.60
09-01 06:000 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?SELL0.952$3.29
08-31 16:030 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?SELL0.042$2.02
08-28 04:41Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
08-25 15:450 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?BUY0.8679999462$2.00
08-25 15:450 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?BUY0.1817350875$2.00
08-24 16:310 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?BUY0.8619998862$1.00