PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xFD126212BFCcC3E9912CB724836cbB8eE3d37F29-1770192468204

0xfd126212bfccc3e9912cb724836cbb8ee3d37f29

Realised P&L
$249.02
Volume
$60.9k
Markets traded
670
Open portfolio
$335.25

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded670
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8390.970$35.52+$4.77
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 11? · No0.9951.000$19.99+$0.09
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C or below on October 12? · No0.9970.999$19.98+$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 12? · No0.9950.999$19.97+$0.07
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9340.985$19.69+$1.01
Ebola pandemic in 2026? · No0.9300.980$19.60+$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 12? · No0.9200.970$19.40+$1.00
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · No0.8500.964$19.27+$2.27
China coup attempt before 2027? · No0.9460.962$19.24+$0.32
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? · No0.7340.957$19.13+$4.45
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? · No0.8600.885$17.70+$0.50
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? · Yes0.7500.790$15.80+$0.80
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 12? · No0.6250.665$13.30+$0.80
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9180.971$10.57+$0.57
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 11? · No0.9831.000$9.99+$0.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 04:06Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 11?SELL0.93$9.29
10-11 04:00Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 11?SELL0.93$9.30
10-09 17:24Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 10?BUY0.995$9.95
10-01 01:01Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 1?SELL0.17$3.40
09-28 14:14Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 29?SELL0.03175$1.27
09-28 04:37Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 28?SELL0.11$0.22
09-28 04:37Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 28?SELL0.13$2.34
09-28 01:38Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 28?SELL0.58$3.06
09-27 00:50Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 27?SELL0.23$4.60
09-26 23:44Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C or below on September 27?BUY0.96$9.60
09-26 01:13Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 26?SELL0.4475075075$8.94
09-25 16:08Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.964$9.64
08-03 04:17Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 4?SELL0.91$9.10
08-03 04:09Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 4?SELL0.13$3.90
08-03 04:06Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 3?SELL0.23$2.30