0xFD126212BFCcC3E9912CB724836cbB8eE3d37F29-1770192468204
0xfd126212bfccc3e9912cb724836cbb8ee3d37f29
- Realised P&L
- $249.02
- Volume
- $60.9k
- Markets traded
- 670
- Open portfolio
- $335.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded670
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$682.02at 0.640Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
- +$126.68at 0.284Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 26?
- +$108.42at 0.286Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 25?
- +$89.40at 0.843Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 17?
- +$89.29at 0.256Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 04:06 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 11? | SELL | 0.93 | $9.29 |
| 10-11 04:00 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 11? | SELL | 0.93 | $9.30 |
| 10-09 17:24 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.995 | $9.95 |
| 10-01 01:01 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.17 | $3.40 |
| 09-28 14:14 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 29? | SELL | 0.03175 | $1.27 |
| 09-28 04:37 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.22 |
| 09-28 04:37 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.13 | $2.34 |
| 09-28 01:38 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.58 | $3.06 |
| 09-27 00:50 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.23 | $4.60 |
| 09-26 23:44 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C or below on September 27? | BUY | 0.96 | $9.60 |
| 09-26 01:13 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.4475075075 | $8.94 |
| 09-25 16:08 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.964 | $9.64 |
| 08-03 04:17 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.91 | $9.10 |
| 08-03 04:09 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.13 | $3.90 |
| 08-03 04:06 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.23 | $2.30 |