PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xfd0f1be1b84ac1e1f3ddc554dc8c315c7579c919

Realised P&L
$-4.52
Volume
$127.42
Markets traded
38
Open portfolio
$6.87

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded38
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample33 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)51.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · Yes0.4500.994$2.21+$1.21
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes0.2300.280$1.22+$0.22
Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? · Yes0.4300.425$0.99$0.01
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $160 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes0.3300.320$0.97$0.03
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026? · No0.7900.720$0.91$0.09
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes0.6000.345$0.57$0.42

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 23:11Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference?BUY0.4299998882$1.00
09-14 22:30Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
09-14 22:08Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.2299999517$1.00
09-14 14:08Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on September 14?BUY0.7599999088$1.00
09-14 05:38Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.59999988$1.00
09-13 21:36Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $160 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.3299998944$1.00
09-11 11:18S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 11?BUY0.25$1.00
09-11 00:26SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 11?BUY0.6299998362$1.00
09-10 16:25Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
09-10 07:44S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 10?BUY0.32$1.00
09-09 17:43US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.4499998425$1.00
09-09 09:41WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on September 9?BUY0.75$1.00
09-09 08:31Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.6299998362$1.00
09-08 12:39LAPTOP airdrop by September 9?BUY0.8$1.00
09-08 00:54Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.5299998463$1.00