Chi8888
0xfd0f167451e4af9dd1d59f0942675de8ea84e262
- Realised P&L
- $-1.5k
- Volume
- $188.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,238
- Open portfolio
- $38.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,238
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration26.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$218.77at 0.162Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$86.83at 0.235Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$49.00at 0.160Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?
- +$37.03at 0.424Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2PM ET
- +$35.69at 0.184Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 23:22 | Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (HIGH) 102.50 in September? | SELL | 0.0512657836 | $24.85 |
| 09-21 23:16 | Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (HIGH) 101.50 in September? | SELL | 0.181 | $26.82 |
| 09-16 18:36 | Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (HIGH) 102.50 in September? | BUY | 0.0634874694 | $34.00 |
| 09-16 18:26 | Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (HIGH) 101.50 in September? | BUY | 0.1687001798 | $50.00 |
| 09-14 22:49 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1299999995 | $8.29 |
| 09-14 22:34 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.003 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 22:33 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1299999996 | $28.00 |
| 09-10 22:46 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on September 11? | BUY | 0.1899999996 | $4.87 |
| 09-03 10:17 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 5? | SELL | 0.11 | $5.50 |
| 09-02 14:00 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in September? | BUY | 0.2799999783 | $6.71 |
| 09-02 14:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 5? | SELL | 0.29 | $7.25 |
| 09-02 12:18 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in September? | BUY | 0.1447368421 | $8.14 |
| 09-01 13:41 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on September 5? | SELL | 0.23 | $8.85 |
| 09-01 13:41 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in September? | BUY | 0.25 | $15.50 |
| 09-01 13:40 | Will Chainlink reach $22 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1059845076 | $14.37 |