Chi8888
0xfd0f167451e4af9dd1d59f0942675de8ea84e262
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $179.2k
- Markets traded
- 1,203
- Open portfolio
- $114.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,203
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$236.83at 0.158Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$98.48at 0.231Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$49.00at 0.160Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?
- +$38.47at 0.407Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2PM ET
- +$36.00at 0.180Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 20:59 | Will SpaceX (SPCX) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.98 | $36.70 |
| 08-04 15:27 | Will SpaceX (SPCX) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.2817222964 | $21.10 |
| 08-03 12:58 | Will SpaceX (SPCX) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.34 | $4.08 |
| 08-03 12:00 | Will SpaceX (SPCX) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.37 | $1.85 |
| 08-03 05:37 | Will SpaceX (SPCX) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.4399999899 | $8.72 |
| 08-02 13:30 | Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $100 in August? | BUY | 0.449999955 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 13:29 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.33 | $14.56 |
| 08-02 13:28 | Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $100 in August? | BUY | 0.45 | $4.05 |
| 08-02 13:26 | Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $95 in August? | BUY | 0.33 | $9.24 |
| 08-02 13:25 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.33 | $14.56 |
| 08-01 15:14 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 15:14 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.3499998717 | $1.50 |
| 08-01 15:13 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $3.22 |
| 08-01 05:13 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.3099998295 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 05:13 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.0189999817 | $1.00 |