PolyBot

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Traders

Utoya

0xfd0e12e8e6f33859a247c4f764250ada6f5fd918

Realised P&L
$6.8k
Volume
$51.7k
Markets traded
44
Open portfolio
$14.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar13.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded44
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration66.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled? · Yes0.9180.919$2.6k+$2.59
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? · No0.7520.805$2.4k+$158.17
NATO article 5 before 2027? · No0.8570.931$1.4k+$111.50
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? · No0.8500.976$1.2k+$151.68
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · No0.8680.945$1.1k+$92.00
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · No0.8550.982$981.50+$126.27
Will Les Républicains have the most seats after the French Senate Election? · Yes0.9140.975$974.50+$60.01
Will Boris Vallaud win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? · No0.9070.993$885.30+$76.99
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.6710.605$756.25$82.19
Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8260.860$596.23+$23.64
Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8010.865$515.61+$38.17
Will SER hold 56-58 French Senate seats after the 2026 election? · No0.8080.790$395.00$9.10
Will Jean-Michel Fauvergue be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9210.925$366.70+$1.66
Will Les Républicains hold 129-132 French Senate seats after the 2026 election? · No0.8200.875$268.03+$16.85
Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.7380.755$225.31+$5.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 00:51Will SER hold 56-58 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?BUY0.81$114.66
09-08 23:17Will Élisabeth Borne be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.941$109.17
09-06 11:54Will SER hold 56-58 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?BUY0.79$63.20
09-04 17:25Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by September 30?BUY0.8$4.35
09-04 17:24Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by September 30?BUY0.8028571429$50.58
09-04 17:23Will Les Républicains have the most seats after the French Senate Election?SELL0.9694385965$110.52
09-02 19:53Will Élisabeth Borne be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.933$18.66
09-02 19:53Will Élisabeth Borne be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.9312222222$41.90
09-02 19:45Will SER hold 56-58 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?BUY0.818331846$137.55
09-02 19:44Will SER hold 56-58 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?BUY0.8$64.01
09-02 19:43Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.754166$75.42
09-02 19:42Will Yaël Braun-Pivet be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.9419770275$74.22
09-02 16:36Will Les Républicains hold 129-132 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?BUY0.82$82.00
09-02 16:33Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.76$152.00
09-02 16:31Will Yaël Braun-Pivet be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.946$69.46