13thDukeofWybourne
0xfd0c402369b6b1fc251a98612f2dd36da752f306
- Realised P&L
- $-712.19
- Volume
- $69.3k
- Markets traded
- 292
- Open portfolio
- $47.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded292
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.86at 0.639Will Ant Middleton summit Everest in more than 6 days?
- +$14.80at 0.287Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?
- +$10.76at 0.783Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5?
- +$10.69at 0.465Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August?
- +$9.04at 0.019Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 13:22 | Will monthly inflation decrease by 0.1% in July? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.32 |
| 07-24 08:03 | Iran full airspace closure by July 24? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.70 |
| 07-21 19:39 | Will monthly inflation decrease by 0.1% in July? | BUY | 0.04 | $0.07 |
| 07-19 18:42 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.177 | $2.04 |
| 07-19 10:58 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.921 | $1.57 |
| 07-17 15:25 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.405 | $9.11 |
| 07-15 21:17 | Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.11 |
| 07-15 21:16 | Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.14 |
| 07-15 21:14 | Will England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.20 |
| 07-15 21:12 | Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9089999967 | $20.00 |
| 07-14 20:42 | Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.084789272 | $0.89 |
| 07-14 20:40 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.26 | $2.04 |
| 07-14 19:42 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3899998479 | $1.00 |
| 07-12 19:00 | Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.04 |
| 07-12 01:38 | Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | SELL | 0.18 | $0.90 |