0xfd0c3306b7ab962da205c84ccf7c330b97ff474a
0xfd0c3306b7ab962da205c84ccf7c330b97ff474a
- Realised P&L
- $-10.58
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $3.58
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| W15 Trelew: Emily Zornada vs Maria Florencia Urrutia · Emily Zornada | 0.170 | 0.455 | $2.68 | +$1.68 |
| Will Getafe CF win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.032 | $0.90 | −$0.10 |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-10-02? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04? · Yes | 0.055 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Gambia win on 2026-10-04? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.25at 0.464Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
- +$-1.01at 0.252Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
- +$-1.06at 0.803Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
- +$-1.11at 0.011Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
- +$-2.11at 0.800Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 12:08 | Will Türkiye win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 12:06 | Will Gambia win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.0299999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 12:06 | Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.0549999975 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 12:05 | Will Getafe CF win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.0349999995 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 12:03 | W15 Trelew: Emily Zornada vs Maria Florencia Urrutia | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 10:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 10:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 10:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 10:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET | SELL | 0.02 | $0.09 |
| 10-02 10:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 10:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 10:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 00:53 | Will Turkmenistan win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.004 | $2.00 |
| 10-01 00:52 | Will China PR win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.0027434466 | $2.00 |