PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xfd0aD807712728Bc5B94F277E9C469AfafA190d8-1770568437523

0xfd0ad807712728bc5b94f277e9c469afafa190d8

Realised P&L
$1.1k
Volume
$2.4k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$386.81

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar46.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration99.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)87.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration69.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · Yes0.5690.510$268.82$31.18
Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections? · Yes0.8000.870$117.99+$9.49

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-01 13:09Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?BUY0.5691620416$300.00
05-02 11:41Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?BUY0.284081029$200.00
04-30 22:45Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?BUY0.29$2.90
04-28 20:03Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?BUY0.2743469172$100.00
04-28 20:02Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?BUY0.2599999985$100.00
02-24 23:07Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?BUY0.96$96.00
02-10 14:14Rojas guilty in Texas illegal abortion case?BUY0.968$9.68
02-10 13:51Will Japan GDP growth in Q4 2025 be less than or equal to 0.0%?BUY0.95$9.50
02-10 13:46Will Colton Moore win the GA-14 special election?BUY0.95$9.50
02-09 12:36Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?BUY0.958$9.58
02-09 12:30Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?BUY0.974$9.74
02-09 12:29Will AGI Inc.'s market cap be less than $2.75B at market close on IPO day?BUY0.95$9.50