danikdranik505
0xfd09dd699fd26365330dfde880dde7879cd99c71
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $43.0k
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $694.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)87.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.861 | 0.865 | $527.65 | +$2.31 |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $100 in October? · No | 0.566 | 0.690 | $117.24 | +$21.09 |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $80 in October? · No | 0.560 | 0.495 | $49.50 | −$6.50 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$419.58 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.48 |
| Will Almanak FDV above $80M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.672 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$497.56 |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $60 in June? · No | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch? · No | 0.850 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$501.50 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June? · No | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in June? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.91 |
| Over $4M committed to the Fabric public sale? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$860.00 |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $68 in June? · No | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$509.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$500.00at 0.500Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?
- +$395.00at 0.605Tria FDV above $200M one day after launch?
- +$320.02at 0.610Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in January?
- +$270.00at 0.600Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?
- +$269.50at 0.650Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 01:31 | Will Hyperliquid reach $100 in October? | BUY | 0.5658854688 | $96.15 |
| 10-08 01:30 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $80 in October? | BUY | 0.56 | $56.00 |
| 09-29 13:06 | Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8612181967 | $525.34 |
| 09-26 15:10 | Will Hyperliquid reach $100 in September? | BUY | 0.75 | $37.50 |
| 08-19 23:52 | Will Hyperliquid reach $76 in August? | BUY | 0.4165007511 | $8.32 |
| 08-19 19:14 | Will Hyperliquid reach $72 in August? | BUY | 0.29 | $27.55 |
| 08-19 19:13 | Will Hyperliquid reach $68 in August? | BUY | 0.4 | $120.00 |
| 08-18 00:34 | Will Hyperliquid reach $60 in August? | BUY | 0.89 | $9.38 |
| 08-18 00:34 | Will Hyperliquid reach $60 in August? | BUY | 0.88296 | $176.59 |
| 08-17 17:24 | Will Hyperliquid reach $60 in August? | BUY | 0.8316568316 | $36.64 |
| 08-17 14:30 | Will Hyperliquid reach $60 in August? | BUY | 0.83 | $24.90 |
| 08-17 14:30 | Will Hyperliquid reach $60 in August? | BUY | 0.82 | $26.42 |
| 08-12 17:56 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $44 in August? | BUY | 0.89 | $28.45 |
| 08-11 00:15 | Will Hyperliquid reach $64 in August? | BUY | 0.46 | $8.97 |
| 08-05 15:30 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $48 in August? | BUY | 0.65 | $65.00 |