PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

gavinchanbc

0xfd068ab4f87f9929eb028df73a2cb4cf6e6ca977

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$50.9k
Markets traded
694
Open portfolio
$64.22

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded694
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kaitlin Olson – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series? · No0.7581.000$30.00+$7.26
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? · No0.9491.000$19.99+$1.02
Will Jacory Croskey-Merritt have 374.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.2500.415$12.45+$4.95
Will Travis Kelce have 474.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.2800.056$1.48−$5.92
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be 450,000 or more? · Yes0.2000.044$0.22−$0.78
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.25 and $1.50 on October 31, 2026? · Yes0.2300.006$0.08−$2.91
Spread: Jazz (-4.5) · Jazz0.5000.000$0.00−$12.28
Knicks vs. Hornets · Knicks0.4650.000$0.00−$27.00
Trump approval Up or Down this week? · Up0.0010.000$0.00−$0.05
Will ARKO Petroleum Corp.'s market cap be between $800M and $850M at market close on IPO day? · No0.0010.000$0.00−$0.05
Will the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win the Bangladesh parliamentary election by 9% or more? · No0.8380.000$0.00−$16.76
Will MrBeast's next video get between 46 and 47 million views on day 4? · No0.0020.000$0.00−$0.10
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 37 million views on day 3? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$0.10
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$2.22
Spread: Magic (-2.5) · Suns0.5200.000$0.00−$6.49

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 15:50Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.25 and $1.50 on October 31, 2026?SELL0.06$0.30
09-17 15:50Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be 5,100,000 or more?SELL0.002$0.05
09-17 15:50Will Anne Marie Dryden win the 2026 Nanaimo mayoral election?SELL0.021$0.54
09-17 15:50Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska be 900,000 or more?SELL0.008$0.24
09-17 15:50Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 5,400,000 and 5,600,000?SELL0.01$0.30
09-17 15:50Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-04 House election by 5%-15%?SELL0.02$0.60
09-17 15:50Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be 450,000 or more?SELL0.018$0.45
09-17 15:50Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be less than 3,900,000?SELL0.006$0.18
09-17 03:50Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 5%?SELL0.77$16.02
09-16 15:50Will Jérôme Guedj be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.042$1.26
09-16 03:50Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Arizona be between 2,000,000 and 2,150,000?SELL0.004$0.10
09-14 15:50Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.45 and $0.50 on September 30, 2026?SELL0.003$0.09
09-14 03:50Will Michigan State have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?SELL0.48$14.40
09-13 15:50Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?SELL0.87$23.32
09-11 15:50Will Rogerio Carvalho win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?SELL0.302$7.25